CJEM Articles: clinical decision rule
Displaying 1-2 of 2 results
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March
2005
7
2
Erica Battram, George A. Wells, Ian Ball, Ian G. Stiell, John E. Mahoney, Linda Papa
Objectives: There is no set of prospectively validated criteria to identify the emergency department (ED) patients with renal colic who are most likely to eventually have to undergo an intervention. This study prospectively assessed predictors of intervention in this patient population.
Methods: This prospective cohort study included adult patients with renal colic who presented to 2 tertiary care hospital EDs. Patients had an 18-variable data form completed by an emergency physician and a radiological study to confirm urolithiasis. After discharge, patients were followed at 1 and 4 weeks to assess for intervention. The outcome criteria included the patient having had at least 1 of the following procedures performed: extracorporeal shockwave lithotripsy (ESWL), ureteroscopy, percutaneous nephrostomy or open surgery. Data were analyzed using appropriate univariate techniques, and those variables associated with intervention were combined using logistic regression analysis.
Results: Over an 8-month period, 245 patients with confirmed urolithiasis were followed; 20% (95% confidence interval [CI] 15%-25%) eventually had a procedure to remove their calculi. Three variables were significantly correlated with having a procedure: i) size of calculus ≥ 6 mm (odds ratio [OR] 10.7, 95% CI 4.6-24.8), ii) location of calculus above mid-ureter (OR 6.9, 95% CI 3.0-15.9), and iii) Visual Analogue Scale score for pain at discharge from the ED ≥ 2 cm (OR 2.6, 95% CI 1.0-6.8). The area under receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.77 (95% C I 0.70-0.84) (p < 0.001). If all variables were present there was a 90% probability of the patient having an intervention performed within 4 weeks of discharge from the ED. Conversely, if none of the variables were present there was only a 4% probability of an intervention. Overall, the model had a sensitivity of 92% (95% CI 89%-96%) and a specificity of 63% (95% CI 57%-69%).
Conclusions: This study has identified variables that could potentially be used to identify those renal colic patients who require an intervention after ED evaluation. Future studies will prospectively validate this model.
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September
2002
4
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Alena Spacek, George Wells, Ian Stiell, Jeffrey J. Perry
Objectives: This study evaluated the incidence of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) and the use of computed tomography (CT) and lumbar puncture (LP) in a cohort of emergency department (ED) patients with acute headache.
Methods: Health records from a tertiary care ED were used to identify all patients over 15 years of age who presented with headache over a 10-month period. Patients were excluded if they had been referred with confirmed SAH or if they had recurrent headache, head trauma, decreased level of consciousness or new neurologic deficits. Outcome measures included ED diagnosis, use of CT or LP, and ED length of stay. Analysis included descriptive statistics, 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and analysis of variance for length of stay.
Results: The mean age of the 891 patients was 41.9 years. Ten (1.1%) of the patients had SAH, 313 (35.1%) underwent CT, and 85 (9.5%) underwent LP. Only 9 (2.9%) of the CT scans and 2 (2.4%) of the LPs were positive for SAH. Of the 296 patients with normal CT results, 232 (78.4%) did not undergo subsequent LP. The mean length of stay was 4.0 hours (95% CI, 3.8-4.1) if no diagnostic testing was performed, 5.0 hours (95% CI, 4.7-5.4) if CT was performed and 7.1 hours (95% CI, 6.3-7.9) if LP was performed (p = 0.001).
Conclusions: Diagnostic testing was associated with substantially prolonged lengths of stay. CT and LP had low diagnostic yields, which suggests the need for a clinical decision rule to rule out SAH in ED patients with acute headache.
